WMP falls -9.6%, payout threat; US housing starts falter; inflation eludes Japan; Germans optimistic; Greece defies creditors; NZD falls; NZ$1 = 73.1 USc, TWI = 78.6

Short headline: 
90 seconds at 9 am: Dairy prices slump

Here's my summary of the key issues from overnight that affect New Zealand, with news of a poor dairy auction overnight.

This latest auction has come in with prices -8.8% lower that the last one two weeks ago. This is despite the volumes offered and sold being at their lowest since May 2013.

In New Zealand dollar terms the price fall is not quite so sharp but down -5.5% all the same.

The key WMP products fell -9.6% however in US dollar terms and that is not a good sign and probably means that this season's payout will need to be revised down from its current NZ$4.70/kgMS level. There is now no time for any recovery to impact the payout levels with the season winding down quickly now.

In the US, housing starts in February came in surprisingly weaker than expected, -14% below market expectations. Some of that may be weather-induced as building permits held up and were in fact +7.7% above the same month a year ago.

In Japan, their central bank governor acknowledged overnight that his aggressive campaign to create inflation, seen as crucial to rekindling growth, has stalled, handcuffed by much lower energy prices. They can only now wait for that to flow though.

In Germany, their economic recovery is set to accelerate this year and next, driven by strong domestic demand and private consumption, the government said in its draft 2016 budget.

In Greece, they have decided to turn its privatisation agency into a wealth fund that will use proceeds to finance social welfare policies instead of reducing its public debt. That could quickly turn into a case of selling assets to pay ongoing expenses. How they plan to pay down their debt is still unclear and is unlikely to impress their creditors.

In Australia, their whole controversial payday lender 'industry' has been put on notice by the corporate regulator to lift standards quickly, or else.

The UST 10yr yields are pretty much unchanged today at 2.06%.

The crude oil price is holding its very low levels at US$43/barrel which is the lowest it has been in more than six years, while the Brent crude price is down to US$53/barrel. 

The gold price fell again to US$1,148/oz.

The New Zealand dollar starts today very much lower after the weak dairy auction and is now at 73.1 US¢ a full 1¢ down from this time yesterday, it is at 96.0 AU¢, and the TWI is at 78.6.

If you want to catch up with all the local changes on Monday, we have an update here.

The easiest place to stay up with event risk is by following our Economic Calendar here »

Daily exchange rates

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var root_url=”http://www.interest.co.nz/charts-csv/” // left untouched for now
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var csvfiles_loc= [“/charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-usd.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-aud.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-twi.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yen.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yuan.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-eur.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-gbp.csv”];
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var timestamday = 86400000;
var timestammonth30 = 2592000000;
var timestammonth31 = 2678400000;
var timestamyear = 31536000000;
var timestamquarterly = 7776000000;

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mm= "11";
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fomat= String(arr[i][0]);
replic=String(arr[i][0]);
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do {
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} while(fomat.charAt(k)!="-")
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do {
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do {
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var k3=k;

var dd= fomat.substring(0,k1);
var mm = fomat.substring(k1+1,k2);
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var c_year=Number(current_year.substring(2,4));
var c_data=Number(''+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1));
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var yy = “19”+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);
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mm= “09”;
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mm= “10”;
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{
mm= “11”;
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mm= “12”;
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var date = mm+”/”+dd+”/”+yy;
//alert(date);

//alert(flagAr[csvgen_counter]);
//alert(“this is flagAr”+flagAr);

var timestam_1 = Date.parse(date);
var timestam= timestam_1+86400000; //86400000 added to get correct timezone output from Date.parse
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var Weeko = time4.getDay();
var dd2 = time4.getDate();
var mm2 = time4.getMonth();
var flag_y=arr[i][1];
var ahref_title=”Click here for full story”;
// var url= arr[i][2];
//var url=”http://www.nzherald.co.nz”;
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var url=arr[i][2];
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Weeko = “Sat”;
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//+++++++++++++++++++++++this is for month conversion+++++

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mm2 = “Feb”;
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mm2 = “Mar”;
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mm2 = “Apr”;
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mm2 = “May”;
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mm2 = “Jun”;
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mm2 = “Jul”;
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mm2 = “Nov”;
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mm2 = “Dec”;
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fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
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fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
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// Functionality to get the last value

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xpad=last_val+padding_value; //*****************to end up graph early//////
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var mm = fomat.substring(k1+1,k2);
var yy = "20"+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);

// conversion of months into numerical form

//+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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mm= "01";
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mm= "02";
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mm= "12";
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// +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

var date = mm+"/"+dd+"/"+yy;
//here flagAr may be
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var dd2 = time4.getDate();
var mm2 = time4.getMonth();

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var yy3 = yy2+"";
var yy4= yy3.substring(2,4);
//++++++++++++++++++++++++this for days conversion++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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Weeko = "Mon";
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Weeko = "Tue";
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Weeko = "Wed";
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Weeko = "Thu";
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Weeko = "Fri";
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Weeko = "Sat";
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Weeko = "Sun";
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//+++++++++++++++++++++++this is for month conversion+++++

if (mm2==0)
{
mm2 = "Jan";
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mm2 = "Feb";
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mm2 = "Mar";
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mm2 = "Jul";
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mm2 = "Aug";
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mm2 = "Sep";
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mm2 = "Oct";
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mm2 = "Nov";
}

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mm2 = "Dec";
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fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
}

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xmlhttp.open("POST",file,false);
return xmlhttp;
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{
error=e.message;
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throw new Error("MSXML is not installed on your system.");
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function readCSV(locfile) {
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var req = new getXMLHttpRequest(locfile);
//req.open("POST",locfile,false);
req.send("");
//alert(req.responseText.split(/n/g));
return req.responseText.split(/n/g);
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var CSV = new Array();

lineCSV = lineCSV.replace(/,/g," ,");

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lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1]=lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1].replace(/^s*|s*$/g,"");
var fstart = -1;

for (var i=0;i=0) {
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lineCSV[fstart]=lineCSV[fstart]+","+lineCSV[j];
lineCSV[j]="-DELETED-";

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fstart=-1;
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}
fstart = (lineCSV[i].match(/^"/)) ? i : fstart;
}

var j=0;

for (var i=0;i<lineCSV.length;i++) {
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CSV[j] = lineCSV[i];
j++;
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return CSV;
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function roundVal(val_num){
var dec = 2;
var result = Math.round(val_num*Math.pow(10,dec))/Math.pow(10,dec);
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function setdecimalpoints(deca)
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var deca1= deca;
var deca2= parseInt(deca);
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return 2;
}
else
{
return 0;
}
}
for(i=0;i<tabs_count;i++)
{
var loc=csvfiles_loc[i];
csvgenerata(loc);
//alert(flagAr[csvgen_counter]);
// var flag_test="["+flagAr[csvgen_counter]+"]";
// alert(flag_test);
}

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jQuery.noConflict();
(function($) {

//alert(xpad);
$.getJSON(‘http://www.highcharts.com/samples/data/jsonp.php?filename=aapl-c.json&callback=?’, function(data) {
var demo = $(“div#mySliderTabs”).sliderTabs({
transition: ‘fade’,
});
for (var i=1;i<=tabs_count;i++)
{
//alert(range_selector);
//alert(finalAr[i]);
var arr_size=finalAr[i].length;
var arr_midpos=Math.floor(arr_size / 2);
var arr_uppermedian_pos=Math.floor((arr_size + arr_midpos)/2);
//alert(arr_uppermedian_pos);
var arr_uppermedian_val=finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0];
//alert(finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0]);
var oneDay = 24*60*60*1000;
var window_selector=Math.floor((xpad-arr_uppermedian_val)/oneDay);
//alert(window_selector);
var j=i-1;
var flag_test=flagAr[i];
ymax_pad[i]=Math.max.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
ymin_pad[i]=Math.min.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
var margin_max=ymax_pad[i] * 0.1;
var margin_min=ymin_pad[i] * 0.1;
var y_max=ymax_pad[i] + margin_max;
var y_min=ymin_pad[i] – margin_min;

// var ymax=ymax_pad[i];
// var ymin=ymin_pad[i];
// var max_ticks=1000;
// var ticks_int=(ymax-ymin)/max_ticks;
// var ymax_padder=ymax_pad[i]+ticks_int;
// var ymin_padder=ymin_pad[i]-ticks_int;
//alert(ticks_int);
// alert("ymax_pad="+ymax_pad[i]);
// alert("ymax="+ymax);
// alert("ymin_pad="+ymin_pad[i]);
// alert("ymin="+ymin);
$('#container_'+i).highcharts('StockChart', {
chart: {
borderColor: '#000000',
height:363,
width:547,
marginLeft:-3,
marginTop:-43, //takes the chart area up
events: {
load: function() {
this.renderer.image('/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/Interest_logo.gif', 170, 75, 200, 80).add(); // add image(url, x, y, w, h)
}
},
zoomType:'x'
},

credits: {
itemStyle: {
cursor: 'pointer',
color: '#000000',
fontSize: '11px',
fontWeight:'bold'
},
position: {
align: 'right',
x:-50,
verticalAlign: 'bottom',
y:-35
},
text: 'Source:'+source_arr[j],
href: source_hyperlink_arr[j] },

exporting: {
enabled:false, //diables the print button
},

rangeSelector : {
selected : 0,
inputEnabled : false,
buttonTheme:{
display: 'none'
},
labelStyle:{
color: 'transparent'
},
buttons: [{
type: 'day',
count: window_selector,
}, {
type: 'week',
count: 3,
text: '3w'
}, {
type: 'month',
count: 6,
text: '6m'
}, {
type: 'ytd',
text: 'YTD'
}, {
type: 'year',
count: 1,
text: '1y'
}, {
type: 'all',
text: 'All'
}] },

navigator : {
adaptToUpdatedData: false,
xAxis:{
labels:{
enabled: false,
},
},
height: 50,
margin:-2,
series:{
lineColor:'#FF0000',
fillColor : '#FFFFFF'
}
},

title : {
text : chart_title_arr[j],
align: 'left',
x: 26,
verticalAlign: 'top',
//y: 50,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
fontWeight:'bold'
}
},

subtitle : {
text : chart_subtitles_arr[j],
floating:true, //enable us to position the subtitle using 'x' and 'y'
align: 'center',
x:10,
y:15,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
},
},

xAxis: {
type:'datetime',
lineWidth: 20,
// gridLineColor:'#FAFFFF',
// gridLineDashStyle:'Dot',
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
day: '%e-%b',
week: '%e-%b',
month: '%b-%y',
year: '%Y'
},
max:xpad,
events: {
setExtremes: function(e) {
if (e.trigger === "navigator") {
max=e.max+padding_value;
var x=this;
setTimeout(function(){
x.setExtremes(e.min,max); //chart xAxis
}, 4);
}
}
},
labels: {
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'bold',
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif'
},
y:3
}
},

yAxis: {
opposite: true,
startonTick: true,
endonTick: true,
labels: {
formatter: function() {
return Highcharts.numberFormat(this.value,setdecimalpoints(this.value));
},
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'normal'
},
y:-12
}
},

scrollbar: {
liveRedraw: false
},

series : [{
data : finalAr[i],
id: 'dataseries',
lineWidth:3,
pointPlacement: 'on',
zIndex:9999,
name : 'AAPL Stock Price',
shadow:{
width:3,
color:'#000000'
},
lineColor:'#FF0000',
type : 'area',
threshold : null,
tooltip : {
valueDecimals : decimal_arr[i],
useHTML: true,
headerFormat:'

{point.key}
‘,
pointFormat: ‘{point.y}
‘,
footerFormat:’

‘,
},
dataGrouping:{
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
hour:[‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ”],
day: [‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘-%b %e, %Y’],
week: [‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘-%e %b, %Y’],
month:[‘%b-%y’, ‘%b-%y’, ‘-%b %y %Y’],
year: [‘%Y’, ‘%Y’, ‘-%Y’] }
},
fillColor: {
linearGradient: { x1: 0, y1: 0, x2: 0, y2: 1},
stops: [
[0, ‘#FFD8D5’],
[1, ‘rgba(255,255,255,0)’] ] },
fillOpacity:.01
},
{
type: ‘flags’,
useHTML: true,
name: ‘Flags on series’,
data: JSON.parse(“[“+flag_test+”]”),
onSeries: ‘dataseries’,
shape: “url(/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/balloon.jpg)”,
width : 5,
y: -33 //this is for flag
}]

});
}
});
//$(‘.series’).animate({height: 600, width: 800});

})(jQuery);

We update this chart twice each day, from the same data the drives our 'live-rates' charts.

Read full story