US debt limit brinkmanship resurfaces; China opens up, gets more support for AIIB; GE Money sells consumer arm; UST 10yr yields up; oil down; NZ$1 = 73.3 USc, TWI = 79

Short headline: 
90 seconds at 9 am: China's AIIB wins key support

Here's my summary of the key issues from over the weekend that affect New Zealand, with news of more countries joining the China-funded AIIB.

But first, the US debt limit battle may be about to resurface. Their debt ceiling of US$18.1 tln needs to be extended by Congress, and now that both houses are controlled by the Republicans that may be tricky.

For the past year, their debt cap has been suspended, but the Federal Government is still running deficits of about $500 bln/year and the cap suspension expires tomorrow. Deja vu – although financial markets are currently all but ignoring the politics of the issue.

China has announced that it is opening up more of its economy to foreign investors. The announcements significantly reduce the restricted sectors, and although overlooked in the reporting, "modern agriculture" is likely to be one due for opening up.

Also over the weekend, both Britain and Australia signaled they will join China's Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank, being late arrivals but in time to be called 'founding members'. The US has been pressuring its allies to boycott this new institution and competitor to the US-led World Bank. New Zealand signaled late last year it would be joining.

In Australia, it was announced that the local consumer finance division of GE Money has been sold to a group of investors including the giant American private equity firm KKR and another giant American investor Varde Partners. GE Money got more than NZ$8.5 bln for this division. Harvey Norman "interest free" deals are part of their products, for example.

The UST 10yr yields popped back up on Friday and are now at 2.12%.

The crude oil price fell on Friday and is now at US$45/barrel while the Brent crude price is down to US$55/barrel. The IEA warned of a supply glut.

In addition in 2014 and for the first time in 40 years carbon dioxide emissions did not grow, according to the IEA. They say economic growth and energy use may be decoupling.

The gold price rose a little bit to US$1,153/oz.

The New Zealand dollar starts the week at 73.3 US¢, it is at 96 AU¢, and the TWI is at 79.

For a world economy coming to terms with a rising US dollar and falling oil prices, this week will be all about the US Federal Reserve's policy meeting and its intentions on interest rates. We will know their decisions on Thursday.

If you want to catch up with all the local changes on Friday, we have an update here.

The easiest place to stay up with event risk is by following our Economic Calendar here »

Daily exchange rates

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var root_url=”http://www.interest.co.nz/charts-csv/” // left untouched for now
var tabs_count=”7″;
var csvfiles_loc= [“/charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-usd.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-aud.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-twi.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yen.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yuan.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-eur.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-gbp.csv”];
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var chart_subtitles_arr= [“Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”];
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var timestamweek = 604800000;
var timestamday = 86400000;
var timestammonth30 = 2592000000;
var timestammonth31 = 2678400000;
var timestamyear = 31536000000;
var timestamquarterly = 7776000000;

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var yy1=fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);

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//+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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mm= "09";
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mm= "10";
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mm= "11";
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mm= "12";
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var timestam1 = Date.parse(date2);
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var timestam2 = Date.parse(date2);
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fomat= String(arr[i][0]);
replic=String(arr[i][0]);
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} while(fomat.charAt(k)!="-")
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do {
k++;
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var k2=k;

do {
k++;
} while(k<fomat.length)
var k3=k;

var dd= fomat.substring(0,k1);
var mm = fomat.substring(k1+1,k2);
var current_year=""+new Date().getFullYear();
var c_year=Number(current_year.substring(2,4));
var c_data=Number(''+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1));
if(c_data c_year)
{
var yy = “19”+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);
}
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{
var yy = “20”+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);
}
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//+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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{
mm= “01”;
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{
mm= “02”;
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{
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mm= “04”;
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else if (mm == “May”)
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mm= “05”;
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else if (mm == “Jun”)
{
mm= “06”;
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else if (mm == “Jul”)
{
mm= “07”;
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else if (mm == “Aug”)
{
mm= “08”;
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else if (mm == “Sep”)
{
mm= “09”;
}

else if (mm == “Oct”)
{
mm= “10”;
}

else if (mm == “Nov”)
{
mm= “11”;
}

else if (mm == “Dec”)
{
mm= “12”;
}
// +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

var date = mm+”/”+dd+”/”+yy;
//alert(date);

//alert(flagAr[csvgen_counter]);
//alert(“this is flagAr”+flagAr);

var timestam_1 = Date.parse(date);
var timestam= timestam_1+86400000; //86400000 added to get correct timezone output from Date.parse
var time4 = new Date(timestam);
var Weeko = time4.getDay();
var dd2 = time4.getDate();
var mm2 = time4.getMonth();
var flag_y=arr[i][1];
var ahref_title=”Click here for full story”;
// var url= arr[i][2];
//var url=”http://www.nzherald.co.nz”;
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var url=arr[i][2];
var flag_date='{“x”:’+timestam+’, “title”:”  “,”text”:”Click here for Story!“}’;

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//var flag_date=”{x:Date.UTC(“+yy+”,”+mm2+”,”+dd2+”), title:’On series’}”;
flagAr[csvgen_counter].push(flag_date);
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var yy3 = yy2+””;
var yy4= yy3.substring(2,4);
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Weeko = “Wed”;
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Weeko = “Thu”;
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Weeko = “Fri”;
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Weeko = “Sat”;
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Weeko = “Sun”;
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//+++++++++++++++++++++++this is for month conversion+++++

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mm2 = “Jan”;
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{
mm2 = “Feb”;
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mm2 = “Mar”;
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mm2 = “Apr”;
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mm2 = “May”;
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mm2 = “Jun”;
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mm2 = “Jul”;
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mm2 = “Aug”;
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mm2 = “Sep”;
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mm2 = “Oct”;
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{
mm2 = “Nov”;
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{
mm2 = “Dec”;
}
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fomat2=dd2+”-“+mm2+”-“+yy4;
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{
fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
padding_value=timestamyear;
range_selector=3;
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{
fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
padding_value=timestamquarterly;
range_selector=3;
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fomat2=dd2+”-“+mm2+”-“+yy4;
padding_value=timestamday;
range_selector=3;
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arr[i][1] = decpad;

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{

// Functionality to get the last value

var xvalu=dd2+”-“+mm2+”-“+yy4;
var yvalu= String(arr[i][1]);
var xyvalu=”Latest value at “+xvalu+” is “+yvalu;
updt=”Updated on “+xvalu;
//alert(“this is updt= “+updt);
}

tempAr.push(timestam);
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arr[i][1]=null;
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yaxisAr[csvgen_counter].push(arr[i][1]);
// tempAr1.push(timestam);
// tempAr2.push(tempAr1);
tempAr.push(arr[i][1]);
last_val=timestam;
finalAr[csvgen_counter].push(tempAr);
}
xpad=last_val+padding_value; //*****************to end up graph early//////
//alert(finalAr[csvgen_counter]);
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vi=arr.length-i;
arr.length=arr.length-vi;
i=arr.length-1;
fomat = replic;

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var k1 =k;

do {
k++;
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var k2=k;

do {
k++;
} while(k<fomat.length)
var k3=k;

var dd= fomat.substring(0,k1);
var mm = fomat.substring(k1+1,k2);
var yy = "20"+fomat.substring(k2+1,k3+1);

// conversion of months into numerical form

//+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
if (mm == "Jan")
{
mm= "01";
}
else if (mm == "Feb")
{
mm= "02";
}

else if (mm == "Mar")
{
mm= "03";
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else if (mm == "Apr")
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mm= "04";
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else if (mm == "May")
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mm= "05";
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mm= "06";
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mm= "07";
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mm= "08";
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else if (mm == "Sep")
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mm= "09";
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else if (mm == "Oct")
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mm= "10";
}

else if (mm == "Nov")
{
mm= "11";
}

else if (mm == "Dec")
{
mm= "12";
}
// +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

var date = mm+"/"+dd+"/"+yy;
//here flagAr may be
var timestam = Date.parse(date);
var time4 = new Date(timestam);
var Weeko = time4.getDay();
var dd2 = time4.getDate();
var mm2 = time4.getMonth();

var yy2 = time4.getFullYear();
var yy3 = yy2+"";
var yy4= yy3.substring(2,4);
//++++++++++++++++++++++++this for days conversion++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
if (Weeko==1)
{
Weeko = "Mon";
}

else if (Weeko==2)
{
Weeko = "Tue";
}

else if (Weeko==3)
{
Weeko = "Wed";
}

else if (Weeko==4)
{
Weeko = "Thu";
}

else if (Weeko==5)
{
Weeko = "Fri";
}

else if (Weeko==6)
{
Weeko = "Sat";
}

else if (Weeko==0)
{
Weeko = "Sun";
}

//+++++++++++++++++++++++this is for month conversion+++++

if (mm2==0)
{
mm2 = "Jan";
}

else if (mm2==1)
{
mm2 = "Feb";
}

else if (mm2==2)
{
mm2 = "Mar";
}

else if (mm2==3)
{
mm2 = "Apr";
}

else if (mm2==4)
{
mm2 = "May";
}

else if (mm2==5)
{
mm2 = "Jun";
}

else if (mm2==6)
{
mm2 = "Jul";
}

else if (mm2==7)
{
mm2 = "Aug";
}

else if (mm2==8)
{
mm2 = "Sep";
}

else if (mm2==9)
{
mm2 = "Oct";
}

else if (mm2==10)
{
mm2 = "Nov";
}

else if (mm2==11)
{
mm2 = "Dec";
}
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if ( timestamvar == timestamweek)
{
fomat2=dd2+"-"+mm2+"-"+yy4;
}

// Daily
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{
fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
}

//monthly
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{
fomat2=mm2+”-“+yy4;
}

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var decpad;

decpad = parseFloat(arr[i][1]);
//arr[i][1] = roundVal(decpad);
arr[i][1] = decpad;
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var xvalu=dd2+”-“+mm2+”-“+yy4;
var yvalu= String(arr[i][1]);
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//alert(“this is updt= “+updt);
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//alert(finalAr[csvgen_counter]);
}

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//chart configuration starts here

function getXMLHttpRequest(file) {

//var arrSignatures = [“MSXML2.XMLHTTP.5.0”, “MSXML2.XMLHTTP.4.0″,
//”MSXML2.XMLHTTP.3.0”, “MSXML2.XMLHTTP”,
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try
{
var xmlhttp = new window.XMLHttpRequest();
xmlhttp.open("POST",file,false);
return xmlhttp;
}
catch(e)
{
error=e.message;
}

//}
throw new Error("MSXML is not installed on your system.");
}

function readCSV(locfile) {
// load a whole csv file, and then split it line by line
var req = new getXMLHttpRequest(locfile);
//req.open("POST",locfile,false);
req.send("");
//alert(req.responseText.split(/n/g));
return req.responseText.split(/n/g);
}

function parseLineCSV(lineCSV) {
// parse csv line by line into array
var CSV = new Array();

lineCSV = lineCSV.replace(/,/g," ,");

lineCSV = lineCSV.split(/,/g);

// This is continuing of 'split' issue in IE
// remove all trailing space in each field
for (var i=0;i<lineCSV.length;i++) {
lineCSV[i] = lineCSV[i].replace(/s*$/g,"");
}

lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1]=lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1].replace(/^s*|s*$/g,"");
var fstart = -1;

for (var i=0;i=0) {
for (var j=fstart+1;j<=i;j++) {
lineCSV[fstart]=lineCSV[fstart]+","+lineCSV[j];
lineCSV[j]="-DELETED-";

}
fstart=-1;
}
}
fstart = (lineCSV[i].match(/^"/)) ? i : fstart;
}

var j=0;

for (var i=0;i<lineCSV.length;i++) {
if (lineCSV[i]!="-DELETED-") {
CSV[j] = lineCSV[i];
j++;
}

}

return CSV;
}

function roundVal(val_num){
var dec = 2;
var result = Math.round(val_num*Math.pow(10,dec))/Math.pow(10,dec);
return result;
}

function setdecimalpoints(deca)
{
var deca1= deca;
var deca2= parseInt(deca);
if((deca1-deca2)!=0)
{
return 2;
}
else
{
return 0;
}
}
for(i=0;i<tabs_count;i++)
{
var loc=csvfiles_loc[i];
csvgenerata(loc);
//alert(flagAr[csvgen_counter]);
// var flag_test="["+flagAr[csvgen_counter]+"]";
// alert(flag_test);
}

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jQuery.noConflict();
(function($) {

//alert(xpad);
$.getJSON(‘http://www.highcharts.com/samples/data/jsonp.php?filename=aapl-c.json&callback=?’, function(data) {
var demo = $(“div#mySliderTabs”).sliderTabs({
transition: ‘fade’,
});
for (var i=1;i<=tabs_count;i++)
{
//alert(range_selector);
//alert(finalAr[i]);
var arr_size=finalAr[i].length;
var arr_midpos=Math.floor(arr_size / 2);
var arr_uppermedian_pos=Math.floor((arr_size + arr_midpos)/2);
//alert(arr_uppermedian_pos);
var arr_uppermedian_val=finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0];
//alert(finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0]);
var oneDay = 24*60*60*1000;
var window_selector=Math.floor((xpad-arr_uppermedian_val)/oneDay);
//alert(window_selector);
var j=i-1;
var flag_test=flagAr[i];
ymax_pad[i]=Math.max.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
ymin_pad[i]=Math.min.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
var margin_max=ymax_pad[i] * 0.1;
var margin_min=ymin_pad[i] * 0.1;
var y_max=ymax_pad[i] + margin_max;
var y_min=ymin_pad[i] – margin_min;

// var ymax=ymax_pad[i];
// var ymin=ymin_pad[i];
// var max_ticks=1000;
// var ticks_int=(ymax-ymin)/max_ticks;
// var ymax_padder=ymax_pad[i]+ticks_int;
// var ymin_padder=ymin_pad[i]-ticks_int;
//alert(ticks_int);
// alert("ymax_pad="+ymax_pad[i]);
// alert("ymax="+ymax);
// alert("ymin_pad="+ymin_pad[i]);
// alert("ymin="+ymin);
$('#container_'+i).highcharts('StockChart', {
chart: {
borderColor: '#000000',
height:363,
width:547,
marginLeft:-3,
marginTop:-43, //takes the chart area up
events: {
load: function() {
this.renderer.image('/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/Interest_logo.gif', 170, 75, 200, 80).add(); // add image(url, x, y, w, h)
}
},
zoomType:'x'
},

credits: {
itemStyle: {
cursor: 'pointer',
color: '#000000',
fontSize: '11px',
fontWeight:'bold'
},
position: {
align: 'right',
x:-50,
verticalAlign: 'bottom',
y:-35
},
text: 'Source:'+source_arr[j],
href: source_hyperlink_arr[j] },

exporting: {
enabled:false, //diables the print button
},

rangeSelector : {
selected : 0,
inputEnabled : false,
buttonTheme:{
display: 'none'
},
labelStyle:{
color: 'transparent'
},
buttons: [{
type: 'day',
count: window_selector,
}, {
type: 'week',
count: 3,
text: '3w'
}, {
type: 'month',
count: 6,
text: '6m'
}, {
type: 'ytd',
text: 'YTD'
}, {
type: 'year',
count: 1,
text: '1y'
}, {
type: 'all',
text: 'All'
}] },

navigator : {
adaptToUpdatedData: false,
xAxis:{
labels:{
enabled: false,
},
},
height: 50,
margin:-2,
series:{
lineColor:'#FF0000',
fillColor : '#FFFFFF'
}
},

title : {
text : chart_title_arr[j],
align: 'left',
x: 26,
verticalAlign: 'top',
//y: 50,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
fontWeight:'bold'
}
},

subtitle : {
text : chart_subtitles_arr[j],
floating:true, //enable us to position the subtitle using 'x' and 'y'
align: 'center',
x:10,
y:15,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
},
},

xAxis: {
type:'datetime',
lineWidth: 20,
// gridLineColor:'#FAFFFF',
// gridLineDashStyle:'Dot',
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
day: '%e-%b',
week: '%e-%b',
month: '%b-%y',
year: '%Y'
},
max:xpad,
events: {
setExtremes: function(e) {
if (e.trigger === "navigator") {
max=e.max+padding_value;
var x=this;
setTimeout(function(){
x.setExtremes(e.min,max); //chart xAxis
}, 4);
}
}
},
labels: {
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'bold',
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif'
},
y:3
}
},

yAxis: {
opposite: true,
startonTick: true,
endonTick: true,
labels: {
formatter: function() {
return Highcharts.numberFormat(this.value,setdecimalpoints(this.value));
},
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'normal'
},
y:-12
}
},

scrollbar: {
liveRedraw: false
},

series : [{
data : finalAr[i],
id: 'dataseries',
lineWidth:3,
pointPlacement: 'on',
zIndex:9999,
name : 'AAPL Stock Price',
shadow:{
width:3,
color:'#000000'
},
lineColor:'#FF0000',
type : 'area',
threshold : null,
tooltip : {
valueDecimals : decimal_arr[i],
useHTML: true,
headerFormat:'

{point.key}
‘,
pointFormat: ‘{point.y}
‘,
footerFormat:’

‘,
},
dataGrouping:{
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
hour:[‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ”],
day: [‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘-%b %e, %Y’],
week: [‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘-%e %b, %Y’],
month:[‘%b-%y’, ‘%b-%y’, ‘-%b %y %Y’],
year: [‘%Y’, ‘%Y’, ‘-%Y’] }
},
fillColor: {
linearGradient: { x1: 0, y1: 0, x2: 0, y2: 1},
stops: [
[0, ‘#FFD8D5’],
[1, ‘rgba(255,255,255,0)’] ] },
fillOpacity:.01
},
{
type: ‘flags’,
useHTML: true,
name: ‘Flags on series’,
data: JSON.parse(“[“+flag_test+”]”),
onSeries: ‘dataseries’,
shape: “url(/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/balloon.jpg)”,
width : 5,
y: -33 //this is for flag
}]

});
}
});
//$(‘.series’).animate({height: 600, width: 800});

})(jQuery);

We update this chart twice each day, from the same data the drives our 'live-rates' charts.

Read full story