The New Zealand dollar powers higher against the AUD and EUR, pushing the TWI-5 to over 80 again

Short headline: 
NZD hits 30 year highs

The New Zealand dollar has ended the week on a high.

In fact, final trading in New York today saw the Kiwi dollar at 97.53 AUc a record post-float high.

And it ended at 69.93 euro cents, also a record post-float high.

Both represent the highest the New Zealand dollar has traded with these currencies since March 1985 when when our currency was freely floated.

It rose against other main pairs as well, although no other set was an all-time record.

It ended the week at 75.63 USc, 90.8 Japanese yen, 4.69 Chinese renminbi, and 50.6 British pence.

The rise will concern the Reserve Bank who have repeatedly claimed our currency is unjustifiably high.

But they are unlikely to try and talk it down because of their unfortunate recent experience; whenever they try, it seems to go up.

This is what they said on March 12, 2-015 when they issued their latest Monetary Policy Statement:

On a trade-weighted basis, the New Zealand dollar remains unjustifiably high and unsustainable in terms of New Zealand’s long-term economic fundamentals. A substantial downward correction in the real exchange rate is needed to put New Zealand’s external accounts on a more sustainable footing.

Since then, the TWI-5 has risen +2.6%.

And since then, both our Current Account data for the December quarter has been released, and the GDP data for the same period. Neither showed any special currency-related concerns.

Th RBNZ are in a tough spot. They do not have the resources to sustain any market intervention. And the liquidity policies of many major economies are working to lower their values, especially from China, Japan and the Euro Zone.

Other major currencies are suffering from elevated levels as well, including the US dollar, and they also seem unable to stem their rises. What chance does the RBNZ have?

Our high currency is having little negative impact on our economy. Economic growth is strong and it looks like it is staying above trend for all of 2015. Employment levels are strong. And key industries seem to be able to sell their products. While local manufacturers would like a lower exchange rate, factory confidence levels as measured by the PMI are high by world standards and the sub-indexes for output are especially strong.

Neither does the tourism industry appear to be suffering because of the 'high dollar' – a regular complaint from them in previous business cycles.

And the fast-growing education sector which could also potentially be impacted by a high currency is showing no ill-effects at all.

On the flip-side, a high currency makes our imports less expensive and generally these lower purchase costs flow though to consumers. While wage rises may be modest, inflation is very low (including for food costs) and that means 'real wages' are rising.

Some may ask, What's not to like ?

 

Daily exchange rates

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var root_url=”http://www.interest.co.nz/charts-csv/” // left untouched for now
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var csvfiles_loc= [“/charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-usd.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-aud.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-twi.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yen.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-yuan.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-eur.csv”,” /charts-csv/chart_data/exchangerates/daily-gbp.csv”];
var chart_title_arr= [“US dollar”,”Australian dollar”,”Trade weighted index”,”Japanese Yen”,”Chinese Yuan”,”Euro”,”British pound”];
var chart_subtitles_arr= [“Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”,”Daily benchmark rate”];
var tab_titles_arr= [“US$”,”AU$”,”TWI”,”u00a5en”,”u00a5uan”,”u20acuro”,”GBP”];
var source_arr= [“RBNZ”,”RBNZ”,”RBNZ”,”RBNZ”,”RBNZ”,”RBNZ”,”RBNZ”];
var source_hyperlink_arr= [“http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”,”http://www.rbnz.govt.nz”];
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var timestamday = 86400000;
var timestammonth30 = 2592000000;
var timestammonth31 = 2678400000;
var timestamyear = 31536000000;
var timestamquarterly = 7776000000;

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var timestam_1 = Date.parse(date);
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var mm2 = time4.getMonth();
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var ahref_title=”Click here for full story”;
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xpad=last_val+padding_value; //*****************to end up graph early//////
//alert(finalAr[csvgen_counter]);
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// conversion of months into numerical form

//+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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mm= "12";
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var date = mm+"/"+dd+"/"+yy;
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var timestam = Date.parse(date);
var time4 = new Date(timestam);
var Weeko = time4.getDay();
var dd2 = time4.getDate();
var mm2 = time4.getMonth();

var yy2 = time4.getFullYear();
var yy3 = yy2+"";
var yy4= yy3.substring(2,4);
//++++++++++++++++++++++++this for days conversion++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
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var xmlhttp = new window.XMLHttpRequest();
xmlhttp.open("POST",file,false);
return xmlhttp;
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catch(e)
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error=e.message;
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throw new Error("MSXML is not installed on your system.");
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function readCSV(locfile) {
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var req = new getXMLHttpRequest(locfile);
//req.open("POST",locfile,false);
req.send("");
//alert(req.responseText.split(/n/g));
return req.responseText.split(/n/g);
}

function parseLineCSV(lineCSV) {
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lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1]=lineCSV[lineCSV.length-1].replace(/^s*|s*$/g,"");
var fstart = -1;

for (var i=0;i=0) {
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lineCSV[j]="-DELETED-";

}
fstart=-1;
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}
fstart = (lineCSV[i].match(/^"/)) ? i : fstart;
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var j=0;

for (var i=0;i<lineCSV.length;i++) {
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function roundVal(val_num){
var dec = 2;
var result = Math.round(val_num*Math.pow(10,dec))/Math.pow(10,dec);
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function setdecimalpoints(deca)
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var deca1= deca;
var deca2= parseInt(deca);
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{
return 2;
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else
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return 0;
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}
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{
var loc=csvfiles_loc[i];
csvgenerata(loc);
//alert(flagAr[csvgen_counter]);
// var flag_test="["+flagAr[csvgen_counter]+"]";
// alert(flag_test);
}

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//alert(xpad);
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var arr_uppermedian_val=finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0];
//alert(finalAr[i][arr_uppermedian_pos][0]);
var oneDay = 24*60*60*1000;
var window_selector=Math.floor((xpad-arr_uppermedian_val)/oneDay);
//alert(window_selector);
var j=i-1;
var flag_test=flagAr[i];
ymax_pad[i]=Math.max.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
ymin_pad[i]=Math.min.apply(Math, yaxisAr[i]);
var margin_max=ymax_pad[i] * 0.1;
var margin_min=ymin_pad[i] * 0.1;
var y_max=ymax_pad[i] + margin_max;
var y_min=ymin_pad[i] – margin_min;

// var ymax=ymax_pad[i];
// var ymin=ymin_pad[i];
// var max_ticks=1000;
// var ticks_int=(ymax-ymin)/max_ticks;
// var ymax_padder=ymax_pad[i]+ticks_int;
// var ymin_padder=ymin_pad[i]-ticks_int;
//alert(ticks_int);
// alert("ymax_pad="+ymax_pad[i]);
// alert("ymax="+ymax);
// alert("ymin_pad="+ymin_pad[i]);
// alert("ymin="+ymin);
$('#container_'+i).highcharts('StockChart', {
chart: {
borderColor: '#000000',
height:363,
width:547,
marginLeft:-3,
marginTop:-43, //takes the chart area up
events: {
load: function() {
this.renderer.image('/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/Interest_logo.gif', 170, 75, 200, 80).add(); // add image(url, x, y, w, h)
}
},
zoomType:'x'
},

credits: {
itemStyle: {
cursor: 'pointer',
color: '#000000',
fontSize: '11px',
fontWeight:'bold'
},
position: {
align: 'right',
x:-50,
verticalAlign: 'bottom',
y:-35
},
text: 'Source:'+source_arr[j],
href: source_hyperlink_arr[j] },

exporting: {
enabled:false, //diables the print button
},

rangeSelector : {
selected : 0,
inputEnabled : false,
buttonTheme:{
display: 'none'
},
labelStyle:{
color: 'transparent'
},
buttons: [{
type: 'day',
count: window_selector,
}, {
type: 'week',
count: 3,
text: '3w'
}, {
type: 'month',
count: 6,
text: '6m'
}, {
type: 'ytd',
text: 'YTD'
}, {
type: 'year',
count: 1,
text: '1y'
}, {
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text: 'All'
}] },

navigator : {
adaptToUpdatedData: false,
xAxis:{
labels:{
enabled: false,
},
},
height: 50,
margin:-2,
series:{
lineColor:'#FF0000',
fillColor : '#FFFFFF'
}
},

title : {
text : chart_title_arr[j],
align: 'left',
x: 26,
verticalAlign: 'top',
//y: 50,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
fontWeight:'bold'
}
},

subtitle : {
text : chart_subtitles_arr[j],
floating:true, //enable us to position the subtitle using 'x' and 'y'
align: 'center',
x:10,
y:15,
style: {
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif',
},
},

xAxis: {
type:'datetime',
lineWidth: 20,
// gridLineColor:'#FAFFFF',
// gridLineDashStyle:'Dot',
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
day: '%e-%b',
week: '%e-%b',
month: '%b-%y',
year: '%Y'
},
max:xpad,
events: {
setExtremes: function(e) {
if (e.trigger === "navigator") {
max=e.max+padding_value;
var x=this;
setTimeout(function(){
x.setExtremes(e.min,max); //chart xAxis
}, 4);
}
}
},
labels: {
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'bold',
fontFamily:'Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif'
},
y:3
}
},

yAxis: {
opposite: true,
startonTick: true,
endonTick: true,
labels: {
formatter: function() {
return Highcharts.numberFormat(this.value,setdecimalpoints(this.value));
},
style: {
color: 'black',
fontSize: '10px',
fontWeight:'normal'
},
y:-12
}
},

scrollbar: {
liveRedraw: false
},

series : [{
data : finalAr[i],
id: 'dataseries',
lineWidth:3,
pointPlacement: 'on',
zIndex:9999,
name : 'AAPL Stock Price',
shadow:{
width:3,
color:'#000000'
},
lineColor:'#FF0000',
type : 'area',
threshold : null,
tooltip : {
valueDecimals : decimal_arr[i],
useHTML: true,
headerFormat:'

{point.key}
‘,
pointFormat: ‘{point.y}
‘,
footerFormat:’

‘,
},
dataGrouping:{
dateTimeLabelFormats: {
hour:[‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ”],
day: [‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘%b-%e,%Y’, ‘-%b %e, %Y’],
week: [‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘%e-%b,%Y’, ‘-%e %b, %Y’],
month:[‘%b-%y’, ‘%b-%y’, ‘-%b %y %Y’],
year: [‘%Y’, ‘%Y’, ‘-%Y’] }
},
fillColor: {
linearGradient: { x1: 0, y1: 0, x2: 0, y2: 1},
stops: [
[0, ‘#FFD8D5’],
[1, ‘rgba(255,255,255,0)’] ] },
fillOpacity:.01
},
{
type: ‘flags’,
useHTML: true,
name: ‘Flags on series’,
data: JSON.parse(“[“+flag_test+”]”),
onSeries: ‘dataseries’,
shape: “url(/sites/all/libraries/InterestHighcharts/images/balloon.jpg)”,
width : 5,
y: -33 //this is for flag
}]

});
}
});
//$(‘.series’).animate({height: 600, width: 800});

})(jQuery);

We update this chart twice each day, from the same data the drives our 'live-rates' charts.

Read full story