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During January support for National rose by 1% to 46% now well ahead of a potential Labour/ Greens alliance 39.5% (down 3.5%). If a New Zealand Election was held now the latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National would retain Government.
Support for the National partners was also up slightly with the Maori Party up 1% at 2%, Act NZ was 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future was 0.5% (unchanged).
Of the three Parliamentary Opposition parties – Labour’s support was at 27% (down 1.5%), Greens 12.5% (down 2%) and New Zealand First 9% (up 1.5%). Of the parties outside Parliament the Internet Party was 0% (down 0.5%), Conservative Party of NZ was 0.5% (unchanged) and support for Independent/ Other was 2% (up 0.5%).
The NZ Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has increased to 140pts (up 9pts) in January with 63% (up 4.5%) of NZ electors saying NZ is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 23% (down 4.5%) that say NZ is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Gary Morgan, Executive Chairman, Roy Morgan Research, says:
“Today’s first New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll of the year brings good news for the new English Government with National increasing their support to 46% (up 1%) clearly ahead of a potential Labour/ Greens alliance 39.5% (down 3.5%).
“It looks increasingly likely that New Zealand First – led by New Zealand’s version of US President-elect Donald Trump, Winston Peters – will play in a big role in determining who forms Government after this year’s election – New Zealand First support increased to 9% (up 1.5%).
“English returned this week from a quick tour of Europe during which he introduced himself to UK Prime Minister Theresa May, German Chancellor Angela Merkel and other important European leaders – English’s first overseas trip as New Zealand Prime Minister. All three leaders face big tests during 2017 and none bigger than English’s task to secure a fourth successive victory for the National-led Government after former Prime Minister John Key’s electoral successes in 2008, 2011 and 2014.
“The good news for English is that both the New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating – now at 140 (up 9pts) and the latest January ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Rating – up 4.2pts to 128.7 have responded positively following the resignation of popular former PM John Key with New Zealanders taking the elevation of English to the top job in their stride.”
Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?” This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile telephone, with a NZ wide cross-section of 868 electors between January 3-16, 2017. Of all electors surveyed 6.5% (up 1%) didn’t name a party.
The original report is here.